Thursday, February 4, 2016

Nate Silver's Take On The Denate

++Nate gave both candidates B+'s for tonight performance. The 538 team thought this was the best debate so far and that having it a two-person debate allowed for the parrying and challenges that the three-man format neutralized. The New Republic, however,had a cry to bring Martin O'Malley back. Oh well.

++Nate has Sanders at 99% winning New Hampshire and wondered why he was aiming at other states now. Hillary is off to Flint,Michigan, on Sunday to commiserate with the citizens there as if to deflect her standing in New Hampshire.

++Nate is puzzled why Bernie isn't trying to create a broader coalition when he will need it if her becomes the nominee. 

++The questions on the TPP, according to Nate, were only interesting to the Washington crowd. But the panel asked why is it that only Democrats talk about these issues and not Republicans. While the economy is doing better, there is plenty to criticize Obama about on income inequality.

++It was clear to the panel that Bernie was out of his depth in foreign policy, which is odd because when he was Mayor of Burlington he was famous for his obsession with foreign policy. 

++Nate thought it was interesting that Hillary hasn't gotten far more congressional endorsements than Sanders even though these people actually line up behind Bernie on the issues most of the time. He also showed that Hillary and Bernie voted in Congress identically 93% of the time and that there differences are minor.

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