++For the remaining days of the election campaign, you will see a tortured dance on the media about how polls are tightening. Don't believe them. There is a natural tightening that will not effect the outcome. Today's national polls show Hillary is basically blow down the house.
++NBC had a poll in Nevada that showed Trump getting 40% of the vote. Jon Halston called them out on this. The GOP leader in the state warned the GOP Women's Group that "we are all going down". The reason he said was that not only was Democratic early voting exceeding 2012 but also that Republicans aren't voting.
++Early tonight, the Democrats moved their organizers from Nevada to Arizona.
++I Have a question --Where are the "quiet" Trump voters? Certainly not showing up in early voting. In states where Republicans usually lead in early voting such as Florida there are not appearing.
++Now NBC showed the Bloomberg/Selzer poll of Florida to show Hillary has lost her edge. She has led 20 straight polls in Florida and the GOP says locally they will lose by a landslide. Selzer polls are not very reliable outside of Iowa, where they reign supreme.
++Both sides seem to need the horse race analogy. The Democrats use the Bloomberg poll to raise money and even Robbie Mook raised the issue that it is theoretically possible for Trump to win. Chris Matthews used this argument by saying battleground state polls might prove that Trump can win. Big problem is that he only leads in Ohio.
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