Or Winning With Ohio

++First, the most important poll--the official Halloween Mask poll--Obama 52 to Romney 48. The sponsors say the poll hasn't been wrong. I'll take it.

++Meanwhile back in Ohio. Paul Ryan campaigned in Coal country and the Washington Post covers a piece about Defiance, where GM is strong but voters, even knowing the implications of GM going under for their town,are ambivalent about Obama. 

++The Qunnipiac/CBS poll--President Obama 50 to Romney 45. That's down from 53-43 on September 26. Women support President Obama 55 to 40, down from 60 to 35. Romney holds the same % of men as before--51-44. Obama leads with unmarried women by 2 to 1. It is about even with married women. By a margin 60 to 37 Obama cares about the voters' needs. 54-41 believe that Obama will help the middle class. 51% of men believe that Romney cares about their needs.

++Nate Silver in his blog pointed out the fact that if women alone were voting, it would be an Obama landslide and if men alone were voting, it would be a Romney landslide on the order of Reagan versus Carter. Go Women!