Clinton 48%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%
Stein 2%
Clinton 51%
Trump 41%
Showing posts with label NBC/Wall Street Journal poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NBC/Wall Street Journal poll. Show all posts
Sunday, October 16, 2016
Sunday, July 17, 2016
Tuesday, November 3, 2015
Tuesday, July 24, 2012
Ride, Sally Ride
++We miss Sally Ride, our first women astronaut, who died of pancreatic cancer yesterday. She left behind her female partner of 27 years and a record of spearheading science education in the United States. She could have been a professional tennis star. Billie Jean King had been her tutor but she opted to be part of the first civilian group of women accepted as astronauts and became a role model for young women in the future.
++President Obama addressed a jubilant crowd at the VFW meeting in Reno, Nevada yesterday. For the first half of his speech he recounted his achievements in foreign policy and talked about getting bin Laden when others thought him naive during the 2008 campaign. The second half of his speech was on his very substantial achievements in terms of veterans' programs both in terms of health care and job training and education.
++Today, Mitt Romney spoke to the same group and tried to sell the VFW on the fact that he would insure that the United States would be the most powerful country in the world and blamed President Obama for the security leaks surrounding the bin Laden mission. He called the President reckless and "radical". He criticized President Obama's announced departure from Afghanistan in 2014 only to pledge to leave the country on the same date. He also blasted the President on his Iran policy. But one thing he neglected to mention to the veterans--any plans for veterans health and well-being. Instead, he said he would never apologize for American power. But then again he always asks everyone to apologize to him. I'm not sure this VFW is the same one as the VFW of World War II vets.
++In today's Gallup poll, Mitt Romney was widely believed to be better for the economy and for the deficits. But President Obama wipes the floor with Romney on the issue of foreign policy.
++A Pew poll finds that Americans are fairly certain they know enough about both candidates to make a choice. Perhaps, we should have elections this week so we can rest easier the next few months.
++An Ipsos/Reuters poll found that 36% of Americans said that knowing about Bain made them less likely to vote for Romney. 26% of independents said less but 13% said more likely. 50% of people said that the public has the right to know what is in Romney's taxes and 54% of independents thought Romney's taxes were an important issue.
++An NBC/Wall Street Journal poll found that the negative advertising hurt President Obama's favorables but demolished Romney. Romney now is the first Republican nominee with more unfavorables than favorables.
++PPP found Obama had his worse polling month since April, showing the race tied at 46-46.
++PPP had Obama up by 6 in Minnesota, which is less than the last poll.
++Rasmussen had Obama up by 6 in Michigan, which dispels the notion that Michigan had been a tied race.
++The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll has Obama 49 and Romney at 43. In the Swing States Obama has a 49-41 lead. The Dailykos showed that Romney is struggling in the early 40s in the Swing States, which is not a good sign of his prospects.
++Romney is off to the UK to watch his dancing horse and have a fund-raiser at the Barclay Bank CEO who resigned in scandal. Romney is off for a week tour to Poland and Israel, where he is expected to deliver two major foreign policy speeches. They have to be better than his VFW speech or he will forfeit foreign policy to President Obama for the election.
++President Obama addressed a jubilant crowd at the VFW meeting in Reno, Nevada yesterday. For the first half of his speech he recounted his achievements in foreign policy and talked about getting bin Laden when others thought him naive during the 2008 campaign. The second half of his speech was on his very substantial achievements in terms of veterans' programs both in terms of health care and job training and education.
++Today, Mitt Romney spoke to the same group and tried to sell the VFW on the fact that he would insure that the United States would be the most powerful country in the world and blamed President Obama for the security leaks surrounding the bin Laden mission. He called the President reckless and "radical". He criticized President Obama's announced departure from Afghanistan in 2014 only to pledge to leave the country on the same date. He also blasted the President on his Iran policy. But one thing he neglected to mention to the veterans--any plans for veterans health and well-being. Instead, he said he would never apologize for American power. But then again he always asks everyone to apologize to him. I'm not sure this VFW is the same one as the VFW of World War II vets.
++In today's Gallup poll, Mitt Romney was widely believed to be better for the economy and for the deficits. But President Obama wipes the floor with Romney on the issue of foreign policy.
++A Pew poll finds that Americans are fairly certain they know enough about both candidates to make a choice. Perhaps, we should have elections this week so we can rest easier the next few months.
++An Ipsos/Reuters poll found that 36% of Americans said that knowing about Bain made them less likely to vote for Romney. 26% of independents said less but 13% said more likely. 50% of people said that the public has the right to know what is in Romney's taxes and 54% of independents thought Romney's taxes were an important issue.
++An NBC/Wall Street Journal poll found that the negative advertising hurt President Obama's favorables but demolished Romney. Romney now is the first Republican nominee with more unfavorables than favorables.
++PPP found Obama had his worse polling month since April, showing the race tied at 46-46.
++PPP had Obama up by 6 in Minnesota, which is less than the last poll.
++Rasmussen had Obama up by 6 in Michigan, which dispels the notion that Michigan had been a tied race.
++The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll has Obama 49 and Romney at 43. In the Swing States Obama has a 49-41 lead. The Dailykos showed that Romney is struggling in the early 40s in the Swing States, which is not a good sign of his prospects.
++Romney is off to the UK to watch his dancing horse and have a fund-raiser at the Barclay Bank CEO who resigned in scandal. Romney is off for a week tour to Poland and Israel, where he is expected to deliver two major foreign policy speeches. They have to be better than his VFW speech or he will forfeit foreign policy to President Obama for the election.
Wednesday, May 23, 2012
Poll Mania
There is a lot of blather about this being an election that will be as close as Bush versus Gore. Maybe with voter suppression and the Citizens United money. But I still doubt it.
So far there is no real concern about the electoral college. On Diane Rheim's show yesterday panelists discuss the Swing States, those lucky few Americans that decide this election. One panelist said there was a real chance of a 269 to 269 tie. For election junkies this might be a thrilling prospect but for fans of democracy this would seal the country's doom, especially after the 2000 fiasco.
So what do the polls tell us at this stage. Kos has Obama with 293 electoral votes without giving him Colorado--yet. Huffington Post has downgraded Obama to 280 electoral votes and Romney at 170. The ways for Obama to reach 270 remain much more varied than Romney. But this could just focus Romney's attention.
While future money might give Romney the edge, Diane Rheim's guests suggest that Obama's get out the vote organization is far superior and that Romney has nothing yet on the ground.
So the Washington Post/ABC poll is trumpeted as Obama and Romney tied on the economy. You would have to dig down in the story to find Obama leading Romney 49 to 46. On almost every issue, Obama has huge leads over Romney. And, yes, people still blame George W. Bush for the economic situation. One whopper is that Romney is perceived by over double digits to be able to deal with the deficit. Clearly, there is more work for the Obama administration to do on this score. Romney's own economic plan automatically triggers gigantic deficits and still cuts social programs.
PPP has Obama 47 to Romney's 46.
Rasmussen Tracking has Obama 46 to Romney's 44.
NBC/Wall Street Journal has Obama 47 to Romney's 43.
Survey has Romney at 45 to Obama at 44 in North Carolina.
PPP has Obama at 50 to Romney's 42 in Pennsylvania.
People have pointed out that the economies of Swing States have begun to improve better than the national economy. Republican governors point to their policies and the Obama administration point to their own. How this will break is anyone's guess.
One interesting number from Swing State polls is that in all the Swing States according to multiple polls Democrats are increasing their lead in the generic poll, which determines congressional races.
Meanwhile Ron Paul and his Love Revolution keep stealing Romney's delegates at the state levels. He is just cleaning up and Paul people know the RNC rule, which does not tie the delegate to the winner of the primary. Expect some real hassles on this.
The Washington Post is worried that the sizable anti-Obama vote in the Kentucky and Arkansas spells trouble for the Democratic parties,suggesting Obama will have problems in Appalachia. I guess Obama will lose Kentucky and Arkansas in the fall. But this is a fuss all about nothing.
With Romney getting smashed among African-Americans, Latinos, other minorities and women, he has to force Obama's turnout to only 37% of the white vote. Hmmm, good luck trying.
PPP has determined that President Obama's endorsement of same sex marriage will cost him 1% in the general election.
So far there is no real concern about the electoral college. On Diane Rheim's show yesterday panelists discuss the Swing States, those lucky few Americans that decide this election. One panelist said there was a real chance of a 269 to 269 tie. For election junkies this might be a thrilling prospect but for fans of democracy this would seal the country's doom, especially after the 2000 fiasco.
So what do the polls tell us at this stage. Kos has Obama with 293 electoral votes without giving him Colorado--yet. Huffington Post has downgraded Obama to 280 electoral votes and Romney at 170. The ways for Obama to reach 270 remain much more varied than Romney. But this could just focus Romney's attention.
While future money might give Romney the edge, Diane Rheim's guests suggest that Obama's get out the vote organization is far superior and that Romney has nothing yet on the ground.
So the Washington Post/ABC poll is trumpeted as Obama and Romney tied on the economy. You would have to dig down in the story to find Obama leading Romney 49 to 46. On almost every issue, Obama has huge leads over Romney. And, yes, people still blame George W. Bush for the economic situation. One whopper is that Romney is perceived by over double digits to be able to deal with the deficit. Clearly, there is more work for the Obama administration to do on this score. Romney's own economic plan automatically triggers gigantic deficits and still cuts social programs.
PPP has Obama 47 to Romney's 46.
Rasmussen Tracking has Obama 46 to Romney's 44.
NBC/Wall Street Journal has Obama 47 to Romney's 43.
Survey has Romney at 45 to Obama at 44 in North Carolina.
PPP has Obama at 50 to Romney's 42 in Pennsylvania.
People have pointed out that the economies of Swing States have begun to improve better than the national economy. Republican governors point to their policies and the Obama administration point to their own. How this will break is anyone's guess.
One interesting number from Swing State polls is that in all the Swing States according to multiple polls Democrats are increasing their lead in the generic poll, which determines congressional races.
Meanwhile Ron Paul and his Love Revolution keep stealing Romney's delegates at the state levels. He is just cleaning up and Paul people know the RNC rule, which does not tie the delegate to the winner of the primary. Expect some real hassles on this.
The Washington Post is worried that the sizable anti-Obama vote in the Kentucky and Arkansas spells trouble for the Democratic parties,suggesting Obama will have problems in Appalachia. I guess Obama will lose Kentucky and Arkansas in the fall. But this is a fuss all about nothing.
With Romney getting smashed among African-Americans, Latinos, other minorities and women, he has to force Obama's turnout to only 37% of the white vote. Hmmm, good luck trying.
PPP has determined that President Obama's endorsement of same sex marriage will cost him 1% in the general election.
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