Showing posts with label Nate Silver July 10. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nate Silver July 10. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 10, 2012

Electoral Votes

Nate Silver says Obama's chances dipped slightly after the jobs report but Obama is at 296.9 EV to Romney's 241.1. He stands a 67.3% chance of winning . And the popular vote is 50.7% to 48.2%. 


Electoral Vote.com has it slightly up for Obama at 326 to 212. The gains for the GOP are Iowa, Indiana, North Carolina. The Senate races are 51 Democrats--3 tied and 46 Republicans. Mitch McConnell said it was a 50-50 chance Republicans win the Senate, not exactly inspiring. 


Huffington Post's EV has Obama drooping more more than the top two. The toss-up states are Wisconsin, Ohio, Iowa, Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire and Florida. So we then go into the 269 tie fantasy.