Daily Kos Pollexplorer Data

++Read David Jarman's post this morning on the methodology for the Daily Kos polling data. He has the Democrats only having 47% chance of retaining the Senate. But read the fine print and why these probability numbers are only guides to the races.

++He predicts the Democrats will win Iowa,North Carolina,Colorado, Michigan,Alaska and New Hampshire. The last two are at high probability.

++He predicts Democrats will lose South Dakota,Montana,West Virginia, Arkansas and Louisiana. All season long I have seen this said about Pryor and Landrieu but I never seen aggregate polling data that actually shows this.

++He says the Democrats will retain the same number of governorships. They will lose four--Illinois,Arkansas, Connecticut and Hawaii.

++The Democrats will pick up Pennsylvania,Maine,Kansas and Wisconsin, which is closer to a toss-up.