++Sam Wang over at Princeton Elections Consortium makes his Senate Forecasts today. Please read his explanations he tells us more about the meta-margin and the Baysian Drift.
++For me, te relevant take-away is the Democrats have a 72% chance of retaking the Senate with 51 Dems-49 Republicans.
++The Dailykos has it a 59% chance.
++Robert Reich writing today says that his pollster friends tell him Hillary wins big and the Democrats take the Senate with a large majority but not getting to 60.
++Remember Senator Testor saying he thinks the Democrats win with 53 seats.
++Unfortunately,Sam is looking right. It will be a small majority and will be threatened in the next off-season election in 2018.
Showing posts with label Sam Wang's Senate Forecasts.. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sam Wang's Senate Forecasts.. Show all posts
Monday, August 29, 2016
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