Sam Wang's Analysis

++Sam Wang says the 2014 Senate contests will be as closely fought as the Kerry-Bush race in 2004.

++From the 9 races worth watching, Wang is left with four--Kentucky,Iowa,Louisiana and Colorado. He has Georgia now slipping into non-competive with Perdue winning the GOP nomination, and Begich leading in Alaska because of his unorthodox campaign. TPM has an article this morning on Begich's campaign. Another thing to watch is Angus Reid, who caucuses with the Democrats but suggested he might cross the aisle.

++At present Wang has it 48 to 48.