Electoral Vote August 30

++Nate Silver dissed the two Michigan polls for methodological reasons. He still has Obama 299 and Romney 239.

++Electoral Vote has Obama at 326 and Romney 212. The GOP pick-ups are Indiana, Iowa and North Carolina. They have Obama winning Florida. Romney's people claimed this morning they could win the election without Florida. I don't see how. Romney needs both Florida and Ohio. Obama doesn't.

The concern with Electoral vote is that their Senate predictions are now 50 Republicans-47 Democrats and 3 tied. This is a change from a couple of weeks ago. Mitch McConnell claims the GOP can take the Senate without winning Missouri.

++Sam Wang at Princeton Consortium has the race 303 Obama and Romney 235.