Larry Sabato's Senate

++Nate Silver at 538.com had a new Senate projection yesterday that shows the Republicans winning 5.7 seats in the Senate (he explains how this works) and barely reaching their goal of taking the Senate. It is a good read about how to evaluate polls and what to expect. But we are a long way away yet as Silver makes clear.

++Larry Sabato at Crystal Ball has his projections for the Senate. He is at 48 to 48 with 4 toss-ups. He says that Republicans will flip West Virginia, South Dakota and Montana. His toss-ups are Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana and North Carolina. Interestingly in Nate Silver's projections, he muses about Joe Biden as President of the Senate.

++Below the radar, Charlie Crist has taken a beating in Florida with the tidal wave of ads against him by Rich Scott. Once in a sizable lead,it is tied 42-42. The only good news is that the large number of undecideds really, really hate Scott.