++Quinnipiac has President Obama edging out George W. Bush as the worst President in the post WWII period. Ronald Reagan is the best.
++A Franklin Marshall poll has Wolf (D) still ahead of Corbett 47 to 25 with 27 undecided in Pennsylvania's governor's race.
++Rasmussen has Cochran at 46 and Childers at 34 in Mississippi.
++Rassmussen also has Obama's approval rating at 47 and Gallup has it at 41.
++PPP has The Michigan Senate race Peters 41 and Land 36. It has the Michigan governor's race a tie at Snyder 40 Schuer 40%. Snyder's approval has dipped to 37%.
++Several new polls have Governor Scott with a 43-41 over Charlie Crist.
++The Huffington Post generic congressional poll has Democrats at 41 to GOP at 39.6%.
++The Democrats reported that oiler 1 million small donors had contributed to their House fund for the first time in history.
Showing posts with label PPP on Michigan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PPP on Michigan. Show all posts
Wednesday, July 2, 2014
Monday, September 3, 2012
To Bounce or Not To Bounce--That is the Question
++Nate Silver is saying "meh", maybe 1-2 point bounce. Sam Wang has caught a whiff of a negative bounce. But he promises more tomorrow. Steve Singisier at Daily Kos says it looks now at 2 points. Tom Holbrook of Pollster had predicted a 3.6 pt bounce for Romney and a 1.1 for Obama. Apparently challengers get a better bounce. So will call it 2 and let the geeks find out after the election.
++PPP has found Obama still leads Michigan 51 to 44.
++PPP has Obama at 49 to 46 in Colorado. They remark this is the tightest of the last four polls, all of which showed Obama in the lead.
++Are you better off than four years ago? 54% of Americans say yes.
++According to Gallup, only 38% found Romney's speech good or excellent.
++PPP has found Obama still leads Michigan 51 to 44.
++PPP has Obama at 49 to 46 in Colorado. They remark this is the tightest of the last four polls, all of which showed Obama in the lead.
++Are you better off than four years ago? 54% of Americans say yes.
++According to Gallup, only 38% found Romney's speech good or excellent.
Thursday, July 26, 2012
Willard's Day
++Yesterday Romney led the national polls from 1-4%. This was the first time in this election cycle that he had done that.
++If you want to read an excellent piece on the difference between national and state polls, yesterday's Nate Silver analysis in www.fivethirtyeight.com lays out the terrain.
++So while Romney is off offending the British, there are some state polls that bear watching:
Rasmussen on Nevada:Obama 50 and Romney 45.
Quinnipiac on New York: Obama 55 and Romney 32.
Monmouth University on New Jersey: Obama 51 and Romney 38.
PPP on Michigan: Obama 59 and Romney 33.
PPP on Pennsylvania: Obama 54 and Romney 37.
++Another poll on Latino voters emerged. NBC/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo. Obama 67% and Romney 23%. The Romney number is a killer.
++The Bain and tax ads are paying off. Mitt Romney has the worse favorables of any Republican candidate in history. He stands at 35% favorable and 40% unfavorable. Even John Kerry after absorbing the Swift Boat ads still ended up the 2004 campaign with a net positive.
++Andrew Sullivan at the Daily Dish had an observation which I thought really summed up the national polls. He said that until after August the numbers really were place-holders, people just biding time before they really have to make a decision.
++ Romney's secrecy has become pathological. It has been reported that the letters between father and son have disappeared from the George Romney Library. In his interview with Brian Williams, Romney again doubled down on not releasing his taxes because it would give Democrats ammunition. Isn't there an issue about transparency and tradition or is everything partisan? Today, even people working with Ann Romney's horse could not be interviewed by the press at the Olympics.
++You choose--observers say that the stock market will determine whether Obama wins or not; another observer tracks droughts and how they affect elections and the Midwest drought might cause Obama's defeat.
++To counter the ads about Romney's secrecy on Bain and taxes, the so-called Conservative Majority SuperPac released an ad against President Obama invoking his birth certificate, college transcripts and selective service application. The trouble is that the Romney people are finding out about negative ads against Obama is that the American electorate are pretty used to the President and already have a strong opinion about him so at best they ding him a point but the ads against Romney severely hurt his favorables.
++If you want to read an excellent piece on the difference between national and state polls, yesterday's Nate Silver analysis in www.fivethirtyeight.com lays out the terrain.
++So while Romney is off offending the British, there are some state polls that bear watching:
Rasmussen on Nevada:Obama 50 and Romney 45.
Quinnipiac on New York: Obama 55 and Romney 32.
Monmouth University on New Jersey: Obama 51 and Romney 38.
PPP on Michigan: Obama 59 and Romney 33.
PPP on Pennsylvania: Obama 54 and Romney 37.
++Another poll on Latino voters emerged. NBC/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo. Obama 67% and Romney 23%. The Romney number is a killer.
++The Bain and tax ads are paying off. Mitt Romney has the worse favorables of any Republican candidate in history. He stands at 35% favorable and 40% unfavorable. Even John Kerry after absorbing the Swift Boat ads still ended up the 2004 campaign with a net positive.
++Andrew Sullivan at the Daily Dish had an observation which I thought really summed up the national polls. He said that until after August the numbers really were place-holders, people just biding time before they really have to make a decision.
++ Romney's secrecy has become pathological. It has been reported that the letters between father and son have disappeared from the George Romney Library. In his interview with Brian Williams, Romney again doubled down on not releasing his taxes because it would give Democrats ammunition. Isn't there an issue about transparency and tradition or is everything partisan? Today, even people working with Ann Romney's horse could not be interviewed by the press at the Olympics.
++You choose--observers say that the stock market will determine whether Obama wins or not; another observer tracks droughts and how they affect elections and the Midwest drought might cause Obama's defeat.
++To counter the ads about Romney's secrecy on Bain and taxes, the so-called Conservative Majority SuperPac released an ad against President Obama invoking his birth certificate, college transcripts and selective service application. The trouble is that the Romney people are finding out about negative ads against Obama is that the American electorate are pretty used to the President and already have a strong opinion about him so at best they ding him a point but the ads against Romney severely hurt his favorables.
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