Showing posts with label Sam Wang explains his Delta and why he watches Kentucky or New Hampshire. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sam Wang explains his Delta and why he watches Kentucky or New Hampshire. Show all posts

Sunday, November 2, 2014

Sam Wang's Delta

++The other day Sam Wang said he would be watching Kentucky and New Hampshire for indicators how the Election night goes. What does he mean? 

++Wang is looking at these two states because they end their vote very early. If McConnell wins only by 4--he is underperforming his polls by 2 and so might other Republicans. If he wins by 9 or more, it will be a good night for Republicans nationwide.

++If Shaheen only wins by 1,it indicates trouble for Democrats nationwide. But if she wins by 5 or more,then it would be a good night for Democrats nationwide.

++He expects Georgia to go into a run-off and that we shouldn't expect to know about Alaska until the next morning. Everything else will be resolved.

++Sam Wang will post his Delta early election night to save everyone angst.