Sunday, November 2, 2014

Sam Wang's Delta

++The other day Sam Wang said he would be watching Kentucky and New Hampshire for indicators how the Election night goes. What does he mean? 

++Wang is looking at these two states because they end their vote very early. If McConnell wins only by 4--he is underperforming his polls by 2 and so might other Republicans. If he wins by 9 or more, it will be a good night for Republicans nationwide.

++If Shaheen only wins by 1,it indicates trouble for Democrats nationwide. But if she wins by 5 or more,then it would be a good night for Democrats nationwide.

++He expects Georgia to go into a run-off and that we shouldn't expect to know about Alaska until the next morning. Everything else will be resolved.

++Sam Wang will post his Delta early election night to save everyone angst.

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