++Charles Gaba aka Brainwrap responds to the New England Journal numbers in the Dailykos.
++He takes as his start-off point Kathleen Sebelius comments to Charles Kessler at the Washington Post about 20 million enrolled in Obamacare.
++Gaba works through the numbers as Sebelius mentioned them compared to his computations. He had off-exhange sign-ups and other additions that were caused by the ACA.
++He also mentions flaws with the New England Journal of Medicine's numbers. He says that used figures from the mid-March signups on the exchanges, which means that NEJM is about 3 million less than the actual number.
++Read the piece to see how he arrives at his numbers.
++Brainwarp's numbers compared to Kathleen Sebelius' final at 22 million--is 24 million to 29 million have obtained health insurance.
Showing posts with label Kathleen Sebelius. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kathleen Sebelius. Show all posts
Saturday, July 5, 2014
Monday, April 14, 2014
Brainwrap Back from the Detroit Zoo
++Charles Gaba took a day off to visit the Detroit Zoo with his kids but is back in the saddle for the final numbers on Obamacare tomorrow.
++He has narrowed his final prediction to 7.75-7.85million for the exchanges,5.23-7.29 million for Medicaid-CHIPS expansion,1.6-3.1 for sub26ers, and another 7.15-9.78 million for the individual purchases. The Medicaid expanses will continue growing and use of the exchanges will continue for those is unique circumstances. That's a lot of numbers.
++There has been some back and forth over Kathleen Sebelius' resignation. She forthrightly said it wasn't feasible for her to stay longer than the first enrollment period.
++In New Hampshire,all the Republican leaders met to discuss this year's campaign. It was repeal Obamacare all the time--24-7. Otherwise, it was a meeting of people confident bucks will by them the elections.
++South Carolina Republican Senator Scott decided to get the first shot across the bow asking whether Sebelius' replacement would serve Obama or the American people.
++For the GOP's base,Obamacare is still a hot button but polling shows that the average Republican feels "meh" about it.
++He has narrowed his final prediction to 7.75-7.85million for the exchanges,5.23-7.29 million for Medicaid-CHIPS expansion,1.6-3.1 for sub26ers, and another 7.15-9.78 million for the individual purchases. The Medicaid expanses will continue growing and use of the exchanges will continue for those is unique circumstances. That's a lot of numbers.
++There has been some back and forth over Kathleen Sebelius' resignation. She forthrightly said it wasn't feasible for her to stay longer than the first enrollment period.
++In New Hampshire,all the Republican leaders met to discuss this year's campaign. It was repeal Obamacare all the time--24-7. Otherwise, it was a meeting of people confident bucks will by them the elections.
++South Carolina Republican Senator Scott decided to get the first shot across the bow asking whether Sebelius' replacement would serve Obama or the American people.
++For the GOP's base,Obamacare is still a hot button but polling shows that the average Republican feels "meh" about it.
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
Obamacare A Done Deal
++Kevin Drum of Mother Jones writes an article today with the above mentioned title. He reads into Ezra Klein's Wonkblog into today's Amazon Post and concludes that, while we will hear new complaints from the GOP,basically Obamacare is here to stay since the website is pretty much fixed.
++Paul Krugman says that the "whole horrors of Obamacare " meme will be gone ,not in months but in weeks. His article is titled, "The Obamacare Worm Turns".
++Kathleen Sebelius earlier today urged everyone to get back on line at Healthcare.gov. The website now handles 800,000 applications per day. Soon we will be watching the numbers of enrollees like the monthly jobs figures.
++Greg Sargent asks "What if the GOP's Stance on Obamacare proves a liability?" He writes in the Post that this is the real uncovered news story. He writes that the Democrats' losses in the generic poll have all come from wealthy white voters. Meanwhile, Medicaid expansion is widely popular. Sargent reported that Democrats fear losing the Senate because of Obamacare. Americans fear they would lose the Senate with the GOP in its present state.
++Dinesh D'Souza, former President of King's College and film maker of a documentary film on Obama which the Right circulated prior to the last election, says he is thankful the United States can survive "the adult Trayvon Martin in the White House". FOX News is trumpeting a new poll showing only a 39% approval rating for the President. For comparison, Ronald Reagan hit 33%, JFK 27% and FDR 36%.
++O' by the way, Congress's approval rating is 5% in a poll with a 3.5% margin of error. I guess the 1.5% are those same 1.5% who will have their insurance rates increase. The GOP has a whooping approval rating of 24%.
++Pope Francis launched a new papal encyclical blasting unfettered capitalism, "the idolatry of money", consumerism and decried the inequities of wealth within societies. He warned that reckless capitalism would breed "a new tyranny" and criticized supply-side economics as not being based on fact.
++Paul Krugman says that the "whole horrors of Obamacare " meme will be gone ,not in months but in weeks. His article is titled, "The Obamacare Worm Turns".
++Kathleen Sebelius earlier today urged everyone to get back on line at Healthcare.gov. The website now handles 800,000 applications per day. Soon we will be watching the numbers of enrollees like the monthly jobs figures.
++Greg Sargent asks "What if the GOP's Stance on Obamacare proves a liability?" He writes in the Post that this is the real uncovered news story. He writes that the Democrats' losses in the generic poll have all come from wealthy white voters. Meanwhile, Medicaid expansion is widely popular. Sargent reported that Democrats fear losing the Senate because of Obamacare. Americans fear they would lose the Senate with the GOP in its present state.
++Dinesh D'Souza, former President of King's College and film maker of a documentary film on Obama which the Right circulated prior to the last election, says he is thankful the United States can survive "the adult Trayvon Martin in the White House". FOX News is trumpeting a new poll showing only a 39% approval rating for the President. For comparison, Ronald Reagan hit 33%, JFK 27% and FDR 36%.
++O' by the way, Congress's approval rating is 5% in a poll with a 3.5% margin of error. I guess the 1.5% are those same 1.5% who will have their insurance rates increase. The GOP has a whooping approval rating of 24%.
++Pope Francis launched a new papal encyclical blasting unfettered capitalism, "the idolatry of money", consumerism and decried the inequities of wealth within societies. He warned that reckless capitalism would breed "a new tyranny" and criticized supply-side economics as not being based on fact.
Saturday, November 23, 2013
D.C. Radiated,Wrecking Crew Leaves Town
++After Harry Reid pulled the nuclear option,the Amazon Post and the Beltway pundits tsked-tsked about its impact. The Post immediately wrote that the 240 remaining Obama nominees would face more Republican procedural delays. Democrats responded that the 3 nominees for the D.C. Circuit Court would preserve Obama's legacy on financial regulations and the environment. Also, you might have Janet Yallin take her position as the Chairwoman of the FED.
++What the Beltway pundits missed in the ruckus was that we seem to be heading to another government shutdown. The budget conference committee was supposed to nearing the completion of its negotiations but haven't gotten there. Tan Man Boehner is saying that he wants to hold at sequestration level funding but his committee chairmen, (there are no women) say they can not work with the sequestration numbers. Rumors have the GOP caving on their draconian cuts to Food Stamps but I don't believe it.
++Meanwhile the corporate media has taken a dim view of President Obama these days. Both the Post and the Times are ringing their hands over the nature of any deal with Iran and continue their diatribes on Obamacare. Toronto's mayor Rob Ford is more popular than Obama but that should not be good news for the GOP because they are less popular than either.
++Darryl Issa and his GOP staff are on the road to Texas,Georgia and Florida to take testimony on how horrible Obamacare is. Naturally, all three states are not expanding Medicaid or constructing state exchanges so it's obviously pretty bad.
++Kathleen Sebelius is going to Texas, Florida and Ohio to try a "Direct Enroll" on Obamacare. Meanwhile,you won't read it that enrollment is surging on the state exchanges that work and also on the maligned federal website. By the time we head into March,the program will be close to completion and maybe the news will turn better.
++So the tale of the tape is in on filibusters. There have been 168 filibusters of a President's nominees in our history. 82 of them have occurred in the Obama presidency. Approximately half have occurred in the last 5 years, compared to the rest of our entire political history combined.
++The President's Saturday address turned back to the economy. Job numbers improved in 38 states this past week, which economists argue show the economy post The Great Repression shows it has healed. The Post counters with job losses recorded in Maryland and Virginia showing weak job growth and unemployment at 5.6% (which looks to me close to full employment).
++The Economist pictures Obama sinking beneath the waves headlining that he doesn't walk above water. Plutocrat George Will says Obama is sinking and people question his competence and integrity. For a counterposition, you might want to consult today's post on Dailykos by "Hamtree", which lists all of Obama's accomplishments. Give yourself time to scroll down the whole list. But I guess he hasn't done anything lately.
++The most fun this past week was Politico's piece on Bobby Baker's reminisces of the Senate when booze,cigars and women fueled the legislative process.
++What the Beltway pundits missed in the ruckus was that we seem to be heading to another government shutdown. The budget conference committee was supposed to nearing the completion of its negotiations but haven't gotten there. Tan Man Boehner is saying that he wants to hold at sequestration level funding but his committee chairmen, (there are no women) say they can not work with the sequestration numbers. Rumors have the GOP caving on their draconian cuts to Food Stamps but I don't believe it.
++Meanwhile the corporate media has taken a dim view of President Obama these days. Both the Post and the Times are ringing their hands over the nature of any deal with Iran and continue their diatribes on Obamacare. Toronto's mayor Rob Ford is more popular than Obama but that should not be good news for the GOP because they are less popular than either.
++Darryl Issa and his GOP staff are on the road to Texas,Georgia and Florida to take testimony on how horrible Obamacare is. Naturally, all three states are not expanding Medicaid or constructing state exchanges so it's obviously pretty bad.
++Kathleen Sebelius is going to Texas, Florida and Ohio to try a "Direct Enroll" on Obamacare. Meanwhile,you won't read it that enrollment is surging on the state exchanges that work and also on the maligned federal website. By the time we head into March,the program will be close to completion and maybe the news will turn better.
++So the tale of the tape is in on filibusters. There have been 168 filibusters of a President's nominees in our history. 82 of them have occurred in the Obama presidency. Approximately half have occurred in the last 5 years, compared to the rest of our entire political history combined.
++The President's Saturday address turned back to the economy. Job numbers improved in 38 states this past week, which economists argue show the economy post The Great Repression shows it has healed. The Post counters with job losses recorded in Maryland and Virginia showing weak job growth and unemployment at 5.6% (which looks to me close to full employment).
++The Economist pictures Obama sinking beneath the waves headlining that he doesn't walk above water. Plutocrat George Will says Obama is sinking and people question his competence and integrity. For a counterposition, you might want to consult today's post on Dailykos by "Hamtree", which lists all of Obama's accomplishments. Give yourself time to scroll down the whole list. But I guess he hasn't done anything lately.
++The most fun this past week was Politico's piece on Bobby Baker's reminisces of the Senate when booze,cigars and women fueled the legislative process.
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