Showing posts with label PPP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PPP. Show all posts
Wednesday, October 12, 2016
Thursday, September 8, 2016
POLLSPALOOZA
Rasmussen Reports (National)
++Clinton 43%
Trump 39%
Johnson 9%
Stein 2%
Emerson Polls:
New Hampshire--
Clinton 42%
Trump 37%
Johnson 14%
Stein 4%
Maine--
Clinton 44%
Trump 35%
Johnson 14%
Stein 2%
Vermont--
Clinton 47%
Trump 26%
Johnson13%
Stein 7%
Massachusetts--
Clinton 50%
Trump 33%
Johnson 9%
Stein 2%
Rhode Island--
Clinton 44%
Trump 41%
Johnson 8%
Stein 4%
Connecticut--
Clinton 50%
Trump 38%
Johnson 9%
Stein 4%
New Jersey--
Clinton 47%
Trump 43%
Johnson 5%
Stein 2%.
Magellin ®
Colorado:
Clinton 41%
Trump 36%
Johnson 13%
Stein 3%.
DHM
Oregon--
Clinton 38%
Trump 25%
Johnson 10%
Stein 3%
Suffolk University
North Carolina--
Trump 44%
Clinton 41%
Johnson 4%.
PPP:
Florida--
Clinton 47%, Trump 46%
Trump 44%,Clinton 43%
Johnson 5%, Stein 1%.`
++Clinton 43%
Trump 39%
Johnson 9%
Stein 2%
Emerson Polls:
New Hampshire--
Clinton 42%
Trump 37%
Johnson 14%
Stein 4%
Maine--
Clinton 44%
Trump 35%
Johnson 14%
Stein 2%
Vermont--
Clinton 47%
Trump 26%
Johnson13%
Stein 7%
Massachusetts--
Clinton 50%
Trump 33%
Johnson 9%
Stein 2%
Rhode Island--
Clinton 44%
Trump 41%
Johnson 8%
Stein 4%
Connecticut--
Clinton 50%
Trump 38%
Johnson 9%
Stein 4%
New Jersey--
Clinton 47%
Trump 43%
Johnson 5%
Stein 2%.
Magellin ®
Colorado:
Clinton 41%
Trump 36%
Johnson 13%
Stein 3%.
DHM
Oregon--
Clinton 38%
Trump 25%
Johnson 10%
Stein 3%
Suffolk University
North Carolina--
Trump 44%
Clinton 41%
Johnson 4%.
PPP:
Florida--
Clinton 47%, Trump 46%
Trump 44%,Clinton 43%
Johnson 5%, Stein 1%.`
Monday, November 3, 2014
PPP/American Progress
++Georgia: Nunn 46-Perdue 46,Swafford 4%,4% undecided
++Kansas: Senator Roberts 47 to Orman 46.
Davis 48-Brownback 44
++North Carolina: Senator Hagan 46 to Tillis 45.
++New Hampshire: Shaheen 49 to Brown 47.
++Kansas: Senator Roberts 47 to Orman 46.
Davis 48-Brownback 44
++North Carolina: Senator Hagan 46 to Tillis 45.
++New Hampshire: Shaheen 49 to Brown 47.
Tuesday, September 25, 2012
What's My Name?
++Dance, Barack, Dance. Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
++Bloomberg national President Obama 49-43 Likely Voters.
++Gallup President Obama 48 to 45.
++Over 65 years old, PPP 48 to 47.
++Florida: Times Union Insider Advantage President Obama 49 to Romney 46.
Forget Washington,campaign on the road. The reason President Obama is winning is because he is perceived as an honest man doing an impossible job for the American people and not the special interests here in Stoogeland. Fired up, Ready to go! Get'em.
++Bloomberg national President Obama 49-43 Likely Voters.
++Gallup President Obama 48 to 45.
++Over 65 years old, PPP 48 to 47.
++Florida: Times Union Insider Advantage President Obama 49 to Romney 46.
Forget Washington,campaign on the road. The reason President Obama is winning is because he is perceived as an honest man doing an impossible job for the American people and not the special interests here in Stoogeland. Fired up, Ready to go! Get'em.
Thursday, September 13, 2012
Late Afternoon after Libya and Cairo
++Since I have received dozens of right-wing attacks on Obama for the assassination of our ambassador to Libya, the demonstrations in Cairo and the attack on the embassy in Yemen, I'll let these people who thought Romney's attack on the President on 9/11 was appropriate to go off and have some time to contemplate the error of their ways.
++Meanwhile back in the election campaign, Allan Lichtman and his keys to the White House still holds to his prediction of an Obama victory.
++Yesterday Gallup has Obama at 51% approval rating and 50 to 43 over Willard.
++Fox News had Obama 48 to 43.
++Esquire/Yahoo poll 50-46.
++Rasmussen had Romney back on top by 47 to 46.
++PPP-New Mexico Obama 53 to Romney 42.
++ Michigan Obama 47 to Romney 37.
++Quinnipiac --New York Obama 62 to Romney 34.
++Missouri--Rasmussen--Romney 48 to Obama 45.
++NBC/Wall Street Journal --Ohio Obama 50 to 43.
++NBC/Wall Street Journal--Virginia Obama 49 to 44.
++NBC/Wall Street Journal--Florida Obama 49 to Romney 44
++WMUR--New Hampshire --Obama 45, Romney 40.
++Onsight Public Affairs--Obama 49 to Romney 44.
Late last night before revisions, Nate Silver has Obama at 319 EV to Romney 219. Obama with 91.6% chance of winning.
From the moment Romney answered the right's call to become more aggressive against Obama it was like the exploding cigar.
++Meanwhile back in the election campaign, Allan Lichtman and his keys to the White House still holds to his prediction of an Obama victory.
++Yesterday Gallup has Obama at 51% approval rating and 50 to 43 over Willard.
++Fox News had Obama 48 to 43.
++Esquire/Yahoo poll 50-46.
++Rasmussen had Romney back on top by 47 to 46.
++PPP-New Mexico Obama 53 to Romney 42.
++ Michigan Obama 47 to Romney 37.
++Quinnipiac --New York Obama 62 to Romney 34.
++Missouri--Rasmussen--Romney 48 to Obama 45.
++NBC/Wall Street Journal --Ohio Obama 50 to 43.
++NBC/Wall Street Journal--Virginia Obama 49 to 44.
++NBC/Wall Street Journal--Florida Obama 49 to Romney 44
++WMUR--New Hampshire --Obama 45, Romney 40.
++Onsight Public Affairs--Obama 49 to Romney 44.
Late last night before revisions, Nate Silver has Obama at 319 EV to Romney 219. Obama with 91.6% chance of winning.
From the moment Romney answered the right's call to become more aggressive against Obama it was like the exploding cigar.
Wednesday, June 6, 2012
The Old Pennsylvania Gambit
++The country has paid dearly for the failure of Republicans not to think strategically. But sometimes This can be an advantage in national elections. "The Pennsylvania gambit" refers to the McCain's campaign in 2008 insisting they had a shot at the state even though every poll showed Obama's lead was insurmountable. So they publicly abandoned Michigan, demoralizing Michigan Republicans as well as McCain's running mate Sarah Palin, who vowed to campaign among the union members with her husband Todd. Now after the Wisconsin recall, we have Reince Preibus and the Romney campaign vowing to pour resources and campaign in Wisconsin instead of Michigan. The national GOP now believes Wisconsin is a swing state.
++The exit polls from Wisconsin show Obama has a 54-42 edge over Romney. Remember the students did not vote, partly because of new voter restrictions. But of the Obama voters who did vote for Walker, the chances of Romney getting their vote is slim to none. 10% of the Wisconsin voters were opposed to the recall and voted for Walker. That was an insurmountable percentage for Barrett to overcome. But consider another answer, the vast majority of voters said that Romney's ties to Trump and his work at Bain made them less likely to vote for him. So have at it ,boys, Romney could tour the state with the Koch Brothers.
++Now about that Swing State of Pennsylvania, Franklin Marshall's poll shows Obama leading 48 to 36. Some swing state.
++PPP shows Obama leads in Romney in Florida 50 to 46--that's conditional whether any voters will be left on the rolls after Governor Scott's purge.
++PPP did another national poll which shows Obama 50 to Romney's 42. Pew has Obama up by 7, an improvement of a month ago and CNN has Obama 49 to 46 with an approval rating of 52%. Strangely, all these polls were conducted after the horrible jobs report and do not indicate any softening of Obama's support.
++Much concern has been expressed about Obama cutting back on ads in swing states. The campaign is saving they are keeping their powder dry because they expect a flood of Superpac money going after them in early fall.
++The exit polls from Wisconsin show Obama has a 54-42 edge over Romney. Remember the students did not vote, partly because of new voter restrictions. But of the Obama voters who did vote for Walker, the chances of Romney getting their vote is slim to none. 10% of the Wisconsin voters were opposed to the recall and voted for Walker. That was an insurmountable percentage for Barrett to overcome. But consider another answer, the vast majority of voters said that Romney's ties to Trump and his work at Bain made them less likely to vote for him. So have at it ,boys, Romney could tour the state with the Koch Brothers.
++Now about that Swing State of Pennsylvania, Franklin Marshall's poll shows Obama leading 48 to 36. Some swing state.
++PPP shows Obama leads in Romney in Florida 50 to 46--that's conditional whether any voters will be left on the rolls after Governor Scott's purge.
++PPP did another national poll which shows Obama 50 to Romney's 42. Pew has Obama up by 7, an improvement of a month ago and CNN has Obama 49 to 46 with an approval rating of 52%. Strangely, all these polls were conducted after the horrible jobs report and do not indicate any softening of Obama's support.
++Much concern has been expressed about Obama cutting back on ads in swing states. The campaign is saving they are keeping their powder dry because they expect a flood of Superpac money going after them in early fall.
Thursday, May 17, 2012
Who Has The Big Mo?
++Easy question--No one. Rumors are that both camps are keeping their big guns for later when the electorate pays attention.
++A few developments which escape the news. The RNC and the Romney people are creating separate organizations to counter the state Republican parties in Nevada and Iowa, which have been taken over by Ron Paul people. Both states are vital for Romney and he is behind in both.
++Officially the RNC laughed off the Obama campaign's suggestions that Arizona would be in play this cycle. But they have since beefed up operations in that state just in case.
++The Obama campaign has revved up their plans against the recent ID voter laws passed by Republican state houses.
Now for polling, Obama still shows strength in his state polling numbers but North Carolina and Wisconsin are reasons for some concern. PPP has Obama 48 to Romney 47 in North Carolina, while Rasmussen has Romney at 51 and Obama at 43. In Wisconsin, the Marquette Law School has the presidential race tied at 46.
A New Jersey poll has Obama with a 49 to 39 lead over Romney and with Christie as Vice President Obama wins 50 to 42.
Horse race polls are all over the map. Fox News has Obama at 46 over Romney's 39. The plurality of those voting for Romney are because he is not Barack Obama.
YouGov has Romney winning with 46 and Obama at 42.
IBD/Christian Science Monitor poll has Obama at 43 and Romney at 40.
Gallup Tracking has it even at 45-45.
PPP has it Obama 48 and Romney 46.
Rasmussen Tracking has it Romney 47, Obama 46.
JZ Analytics has it Romney 44 and Obama 43. The real number is 43.6 Romney to 43.2 Obama.
So far Romney's favorables have picked up as a consequence of his winning the GOP nomination. I sense Obama's standing has gotten sluggish. I think he should be concerned about Wisconsin because the GOP is highly motivated to come out in the recall elections and that might spill over in November. Also North Carolina and Oregon (the poll was closer than expected).
But to date it is like both candidates are just revving their engines.
++A few developments which escape the news. The RNC and the Romney people are creating separate organizations to counter the state Republican parties in Nevada and Iowa, which have been taken over by Ron Paul people. Both states are vital for Romney and he is behind in both.
++Officially the RNC laughed off the Obama campaign's suggestions that Arizona would be in play this cycle. But they have since beefed up operations in that state just in case.
++The Obama campaign has revved up their plans against the recent ID voter laws passed by Republican state houses.
Now for polling, Obama still shows strength in his state polling numbers but North Carolina and Wisconsin are reasons for some concern. PPP has Obama 48 to Romney 47 in North Carolina, while Rasmussen has Romney at 51 and Obama at 43. In Wisconsin, the Marquette Law School has the presidential race tied at 46.
A New Jersey poll has Obama with a 49 to 39 lead over Romney and with Christie as Vice President Obama wins 50 to 42.
Horse race polls are all over the map. Fox News has Obama at 46 over Romney's 39. The plurality of those voting for Romney are because he is not Barack Obama.
YouGov has Romney winning with 46 and Obama at 42.
IBD/Christian Science Monitor poll has Obama at 43 and Romney at 40.
Gallup Tracking has it even at 45-45.
PPP has it Obama 48 and Romney 46.
Rasmussen Tracking has it Romney 47, Obama 46.
JZ Analytics has it Romney 44 and Obama 43. The real number is 43.6 Romney to 43.2 Obama.
So far Romney's favorables have picked up as a consequence of his winning the GOP nomination. I sense Obama's standing has gotten sluggish. I think he should be concerned about Wisconsin because the GOP is highly motivated to come out in the recall elections and that might spill over in November. Also North Carolina and Oregon (the poll was closer than expected).
But to date it is like both candidates are just revving their engines.
Tuesday, May 15, 2012
Election Over:Dubya Backs Romney
++ George W said he was for Romney today. I thought he would do a bin Laden and back Obama.
++The Obama campaign,in my opinion, lost their cool today by protesting the CBS/New York Times poll that shows Romney beating Obama 46 to 43 and getting most of the women. There will be thousands more polls until November. Keep cool. Don't sweat it.
++Both campaigns beat each other up today over the competing Bain ads. Only serves to muddy the waters and cast doubt on Romney as a so-called "job creator".
++Rasmussen tracking has it 47 to 45 Romney; Gallup's tracking has it 46 to 45 Obama.
++Today in history, John Kerry was up by 6 against George W. in 2004.
++Gallup has 56% Americans believing Obama will be re-elected and 36% Romney. During the last 4 presidential elections, this type of prediction by Americans has been accurate.
++Intratrade still has Obama winning with 59.5%. These are people betting real money.
++The Siena poll has Obama 57 to 37 over Romney.
++PPP has Obama 53 to Romney 41 in new Hampshire. Obama enjoys a huge gender gap. The lead is bigger than Obama's 2008 victory. If it held up, Romney would lose all of his home states except for his religious capital of Utah. New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Michigan and California.
++PPP has a worrisome poll showing Obama beating Romney by only one point in Wisconsin 47 to 46.
++Romney is trying to get under Obama's skin by suggesting there is bad blood between Obama and the Clintons. A real play of GOP games with the Clintons in 2008 or just another attempt by thin-skinned Romney trying to project the same anger issues on Obama?
++The Obama campaign,in my opinion, lost their cool today by protesting the CBS/New York Times poll that shows Romney beating Obama 46 to 43 and getting most of the women. There will be thousands more polls until November. Keep cool. Don't sweat it.
++Both campaigns beat each other up today over the competing Bain ads. Only serves to muddy the waters and cast doubt on Romney as a so-called "job creator".
++Rasmussen tracking has it 47 to 45 Romney; Gallup's tracking has it 46 to 45 Obama.
++Today in history, John Kerry was up by 6 against George W. in 2004.
++Gallup has 56% Americans believing Obama will be re-elected and 36% Romney. During the last 4 presidential elections, this type of prediction by Americans has been accurate.
++Intratrade still has Obama winning with 59.5%. These are people betting real money.
++The Siena poll has Obama 57 to 37 over Romney.
++PPP has Obama 53 to Romney 41 in new Hampshire. Obama enjoys a huge gender gap. The lead is bigger than Obama's 2008 victory. If it held up, Romney would lose all of his home states except for his religious capital of Utah. New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Michigan and California.
++PPP has a worrisome poll showing Obama beating Romney by only one point in Wisconsin 47 to 46.
++Romney is trying to get under Obama's skin by suggesting there is bad blood between Obama and the Clintons. A real play of GOP games with the Clintons in 2008 or just another attempt by thin-skinned Romney trying to project the same anger issues on Obama?
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