FOR THOSE WHO DREAD

++Even I sometimes fear the dark soul of America rising. But as Hillary Clinton said,"Americans need to have fun more." The polls after the Democratic Convention show more a trend than a bounce. And it's all in Clinton;s direction.

++Today we had 55 Republican national security experts say they refuse too vote for Trump. Several George W. Bush aides came out and endorsed Clinton. Former Michigan Governor Milliken endorsed Clinton. 

++Nancy LeTourneau at Washington Monthly writes about the "unknown Trump voters"--those that are to embarrassed to say they would vote for him. The reference is that the race is closer in online polling than hardline calling. But closer is the operative word. Hillary Clinton leads by 4+ in online polling.

++We have the same claims with the millions of unknown evangelicals who would vote for Ted Cruz. They never materialized.

++Nancy LeTourneau also writes about how Florida is turning out. Hillary Clinton has more campaign workers in the state than Donald Trump has in the entire country. Nancy writes about the changing dynamics of the Hispanic community. Over 1 million Puerto Ricans have become permanent residents in Florida and there is a generational gap in the Cuban community, As a result of these changes Hillary Clinton has added stops in her campaign schedule to accommodate new areas in the Hispanic community.

++Nate Silver has the race at 86.3% clinton and Sam Wang has his meta-margin at +4.5 Clinton (which is almost impossible t overcome.)

++538 has Clinton at 361.1 EV, Trump at 176.5EV and Johnson at .3

++The popular vote is Clinton 49.7%,Trump at 42%,and Johnson at 6.9%.

++Given the nature of Trump's campaign, I am disappointed that the margin isn't more. But Clinton is now running slightly ahead of Obama in 2008.

++Trump is running--tops--with 16% of the non-white electorate--far below Romney.

++The states to watch in polling at Florida, Ohio and Iowa. The polls will tell us whether this is really over.

++The race is Hillary's to lose. We might expect Bill to pull a bonehead move,a terrorist attack which could poll either way,a recession (not likely) or the promised Wikileaks that the US is covertly arming ISIS.