Sunday, September 25, 2016

THE FIX: PHILLIP BUMP--THE WHITE VOTE

++Bump ponders the question of the white vote, which appears severely splintered this year. In 2012, white voters backed Romney. In fact, white voters have supported Republicans more than Democrats every election since 1972.

++In 2012, Romney won by 20 points over Obama. Right now, Trump has a 16 point lead in a four way race. 

++But white women--particularly white women with college degrees or some degree prefer CDkinton over Trump.These women support Clinton by over 25pts more than Trump. 

++But Trump is ahead by 60points with whites without college degrees. Apparently his advantage here is offsetting his loss of the college educated. 

++But Pew Research says that the collapse of support from white women and college educated would doom Trump. 

++Bump writes that income and education usually affect the likelihood to vote. If Trump wins, then these people actually came out to vote.

++Go White Girls!!


No comments:

Post a Comment