++"The Whitest Swan" is Sam's essay at PEC.
++"In the last two weeks,it became clear there was no chance for Trump to win. At that point it was a matter of time."
++Today's probability is at 93%, the meta-margin is 3.3% and the likely range of electoral outcomes is 290-348 electoral votes.
++There is simply not enough time for opinion to shift back. It was the animal sense of the public that Trump was doomed that created the environment where the video surfaced.
++Interestingly the Trump meltdown has Sam contemplating not only a Democratic Senate but a House as well. A presidential win of 6-8% makes a Democratic house a possibility.
It was that recent change of tone from the Democratic party that gave indicators that they thought this was all wrapped up and the House became real again.
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