Sunday, October 9, 2016

UNDERVOTING.

++Josh Marshall showed at TPM how the rank and file are reacting to the GOP disowning Trump. Reince Preibus told his RNC staff to make their own choice since they feared any association with Trump would kill their careers. Early polls show that the rank and file are for Trump despite the tapes.

++This leads to Joe Barro's article at Business-Insider that the GOP is in worse shape than they realize. Undervoting is when you vote for the tope of the ticket and not the bottom. Barro's case is that the rank and file upset with the GOP establishment who happen to run for offices will not vote for them. This is one of the reasons that the Democrats are again sensing blood with the House. 

++Politico has an article on this is the end of the Trump campaign. They said the tapes have had the effect of the 47% Romney tape except that the Romney tape now seems to be a high class civics lesson. While the rest of us have seen Trump says things like this before apparently the tape with its suggestion of sexual abuse with his face and voice on it tore it for the establishment. There is another tape with him saying the "N" word. The piece quotes Haley Barbour's son saying that this will hack away some of Trump's core supporters. He said the senior citizens and senior women will disappear. He went on to say this will be crippling in Pennsylvania and places in the South.

++Stephen Schmidt, McCain's campaign strategist,said on a Sunday talk show that Hillary is our next President and that Trump exposed the "intellectual rot at the heart of Republican Party". 

++The Republican House Chairman of the House Ethics Committee ,Charley Dent, challenged Reince Preibus to change Trump.

++In one sense, I thought this was just another blow to the Trump candidacy. We saw yesterday from Sam Wang that Hillary had put this election away before the tapes and tax issue emerged but I never thought it would have such an effect on the Republican Party as a whole. The party is in total disarray. 

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