++Let's start with the Gallup daily tracking poll of President Obama's approval rating as a barometer for the others. 46% approve,48% disapprove.
++The gubernatorial race in Florida.
Quinnipiac: Crist 46, Scott 38%.
Survey USA: Crist 46, Scott 41%.
++McClatchy-Marist generic congressional. Democrats 48%,GOP 42%.
++The New York Times-Kaiser polls of Senate races.
Arkansas: Pryor (D) 46--36 Cotton ®.
North Carolina: Hagan (D) 42--Tillis® 40.
Louisiana: Landrieu (D) 42--18 Cassidy ®.
Kentucky: McConnell ® 44-43 Grimes (D).
The Times analysis of the mid-terms shows that the independent is not as much a factor as getting out the base. Also,the traditional mid-term drop off doesn't affect African-Americans as previously thought.
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