Monday, October 26, 2015

End Games

++John Boehner wants to clear the decks for Paul Ryan so that the Freedom Caucus and others don't destroy his speakership, Today we see that Boehner is back at the old little "Grand Bargain" to pass a two year appropriations bill and raise the debt ceiling before he leaves. 

++Again President Obama is under pressure because Boehner and the GOP want him to cut Medicare benefits and Social Security Disability. It's not clear that this is the final outcome just as Democrats screamed that Obama was going to sell out Social Security and Medicare the last time the two men negotiated. 

++But President Obama may be weary of these endless fights and the GOP wants to avoid shutting down the government because they know in a presidential election year this would be negative PR.

++President Obama and the Democrats have to be on guard because the House Republicans have a bill to repeal Obamacare through reconciliation, which Kevin McCarthy alluded to on his ill-fated Hannity interview. The Democrats could not filibuster this in the Senate but it would have a fast track that even President Obama could not veto. 

++Right now it is Senate Republicans screwing up the deal. Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz believe the reconciliation "repeal" doesn't repeal enough of Obamacare and they along with Rand Paul and Mike Lee are preventing Mitch McConnell from obtaining this political goal. 

++Let's hope they fail because on November 1 new enrollees start the next round of Obamacare. The premiums will be up 7.5% this year for medium level plans and President Obama is still hawking the $100 a year plan. 

++If President Obama can preserve Obamacare and secured a two year budget, then he is home free.

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