Saturday, May 28, 2016

TRUMP IS BROKE!

++Paul Manafort met with Senate Republicans and told them the Trump campaign may only have enough money to run ads through June and by the July convention it will be bust. Manafort said Trump then will depend on the RNC donor base to fund the general campaign. 

++If the networks stopped giving him free time, it would be the end.

++I saw an interview with the RNC spokesperson on CNN saying that they had beefed up their manpower in the swing states. Not true. They would love to but they haven't as yet. 

++NBC reported that the Republicans in Florida are getting anxious because at this time in a general election they should have all the manpower in place. Part of the problem is, as the New York Times reported, the TRUMP campaign is in total disarray. There have been three Superpacs created for the campaign but Trump has not told donors which he prefers.

++Charlie Cook says Keep to the fundamentals. The polls aren't meaningful yet.

++Politico says that Trump's campaign is dwarfed by Clinton's. The last FEC filings showed that Trump spent less than a third as much as Clinton's campaign--$57 million to $182 million. He has 1/10th the staff --70 to 732. A fraction of the offices--$101,000 on rent to $38,000. 

++Trump spent $2.7 million on advertising to Clinton's $12 million on digital and broadcast media. 

++Sanders was the biggest spender at $207 million . Sanders has $5.8 million in the bank to Clinton's $30 million.

++Clinton has the tremendous advantage in analytics, polling and building models of likely voters and turnout plans. 

++Trump has spent $31,000 on direct mailing compared to Hillary's $398,000.

++Manafort said they wanted to use Rick Scott and Cory Gardner's approach to Hispanics. Manafort said that Hispanics on the coasts were "radical" but they were more persuadable in the Midwest because they shared the same values with Trump. (Cough). 

++But Hillary's edge means that she is already and set on the ground in Florida,Ohio and Pennsylvania, which Trump has to win to have a shot.

++That is why the TRUMP campaign is entertaining John Kasich as vice president and Hillary Clinton's Sherrod Brown. I like Brown--a persistent,low-keyed progressive.

++Of course that depends on whether Trump can afford to campaign.

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