Sunday, August 24, 2014

Born To Run the Numbers.com

++Tom Gardner does his regression model and comes up with the GOP wins less than 10 House Seats or maybe none. He believes the GOP will net +1. The reason is the 2010 blowup with the GOP and gerrymandering doesn't leave a lot of wiggle room and districts are not subject to change. Remember when the government shutdown happened, polls indicated that the Democrats could take back the House. I've felt that won't happen until 2020, when the new census is done.

++Sam Wang has pointed out that Reince Preibus predicts a Republican wave election but Wang wrote in the New Yorker it looks like a ripple. The Generic poll shows it even, which means advantage the GOP.

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