Saturday, February 20, 2016

"If Marco Rubio Can't Beat Donald Trump In South Carolina,Where Can He?"

++Jonathan Chait at the New York magazine writes that South Carolina has always been the firewall for the GOP establishment. Rubio expected to win there. He had the support of the Governor, the Senator and Trey Gowdy. It is a state which is hierarchical and the political elites basically tell voters what to do. Rubio also was suited with his belligerent neoconservatism to be a permit fit for a state steeped in the military. But he barely scrapped by with a second place win and no delegates. So where is the victory supposed to happen?

++Larry Sabato over at Crystal Ball writes in "The Hour is Growing Late To Stop Trump." Sabato said that the Donald is in an amazingly strong place to win the nomination. He says Rubio has to start winning because by March 15th, the Republicans will have selected nearly 60% of their delegates. 

++Even the Donald says that a smaller field doesn't disadvantage him because he is going to pick up votes from the other candidates. They are not all going to go to Rubio. 

++Sabato points out that after the primaries in the South conclude the contest moves northeast and Midwest. He proposes that Rubio think outside the box and offer Kasich the vice presidency--a Florida-Ohio team,which might bring this thing to a close.
Otherwise prepare for the Donald.

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