The Daily Kos' electoral snapshot is not their official polling function but a rough cut of the electoral college based on TPM poll tracker using polling composites. So the averages for states include everything from Rasmussen to one-off companies so they might be slightly off.
Today, the snapshot has President Obama beating Willard Romney 303 to 226. Even if you only added states where Obama is up more than 5 points, he sitting on 272 electoral votes.
Since kos' last analysis, Romney has improved his ratings in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin. The surprise is that Romney has picked up 13% in Colorado to tie it. The big caveat is that the state has been infrequently polled and the last poll was by a Republican operative. So Colorado is considered tied. Romney is now considered winning Arizona, which most people thought was probable despite the Obama campaign's latest entry into the state. Romney just barely edges out Obama in Florida, and while he still trails, he has gained in Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin.
This could be the evening out of the race as the GOP wrapped up its contest.
But the interesting opposite is that President Obama gained 3.1 in Pennsylvania and 1.9 in Virginia, where he remains steady and ahead.
But so far, Romney is struggling in the two must-win states for him--Florida and Ohio.
As we just got off the starting blocks, President Obama is in decent shape.
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