Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Predicting The Next Republican To Leave The Race

++Read Chris Weigant's piece in the Huffington Post. Chris failed to predict either Perry or Walker leaving the race. The reason is fairly subtle. Both men had billionaire backers and tons of cash in their Superpacs but what they lacked were funds for the campaign staff,offices and the other parts of the actual campaigning. He says look at this to force others out. It isn't enough for the candidates to have amassed war chests if they can't tap them.

++He thinks Chris Christie will be the next out, especially if he is demoted to the kiddie debate next time. His poll numbers are atrocious and he's sinking like a rock because the belligerent candidates' spot was taken by the Donald.

++He is confident that JEB! is in it to win it and that Marco Rubio will confront a choice when he runs up to the Senate deadline. Florida prohibits a candidate from running for two offices. Rubio will have to make a choice. 

++Weigant has some interesting aberrations about why you won't see Pataki or Gov. Gilmore drop out because it is an ego thing, even though neither one registers in the polls.

++I don't buy his reasoning that Cruz would drop out anytime soon. However, I think Bobby Jindal has to take a serious look at his dim possibilities. 

++He says Kasich will stick around through New Hampshire. 

++One possibility Weigant doesn't talk about is Fiorina. She appears now to be violated the law which prohibits the coordination of campaigns with SuperPacs. This was true in a recent event in Iowa where the SuperPac claimed they organized it. If this becomes an issue, then "her campaign" will dry up. 

++He doesn't see Trump, Carson or Fiorina going away soon. He thinks Lindsey Graham should and so do I.

But it is an interesting read about how he characterizes the candidates and how the SuperPacs work or don't for the candidate.

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