Saturday, April 30, 2016

Indiana Might Not Matter Anymore

++Sam Wang says that although the median of polls shows Trump with about a 4point lead  in Indiana ,quite frankly it doesn't matter anymore.  Trump is projected by Sam to get at least 100 more delegates than the 1270 needed for the nomination.

++What is interesting is Wang's assessment that Trump has been on a glide path since early March and that the only intangibles in the race have been very local factors. He sees Cruz picking up some more states. But that will not matter, Wang asks the media to stop running stories about a brokered convention. A wonderful fantasy for political junkies but everyday it is less likely not more.

++Basically both Trump and Clinton are in the 95% probable range to win the nominations of their respective parties.

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