So Republicans on the Special Committee have proposed the elimination of your home deduction and the privatization of part of Medicare as part of their offer to the Democrats.
Now let's pause. You are a major political party in the United States and your demographic base formerly was the white senior citizens,the wealthy, the surbuban professional,military personnel and veterans,firefighters, the police , some white blue collar workers and a smidgin of Hispanics.
So the newly elected Republican governors in Wisconsin, Ohio,Florida and Pennsylvania and Maine make it a point to go after collective bargaining and cut the salaries of police and firefighters, while providing tax cuts for the very wealthy. You can include teachers in this because Republicans used to have a million teachers. So that part of your base is gone, maybe for good.
Your presidential candidates and the Republican governors in Arizona, Georgia, Alabama,South Carolina and elsewhere pass restructive immigration laws or support them in debates. Even with President Obama deporting record numbers of Hispanics, they still support him in the high 60s and many Republican Hispanic leaders have defected from the party. So right them off.
So the so-called suburban professional, which Bill Keller of the New York Times,is a potential base for Mitt Romney. Well,Romney and all the candidates as well as state Republicans and House Republicans have been vociferously and militantly against anything remoting resembling women's rights and reprodutice rights that you might have to write off half that sector. Now, you are proposing eliminating the mortgage deduction, which for many suburban professionals is their largest tax deduction and has allowed them to live in larger homes. OK, you for it.
The congressional Republicans are against Obama's job creation bill, which is supported by over 60% of the American people. So, you oppose infrastructure projects which your formerly blue collar workers support. Why do you think they will support you again? Even the Weekly Standard wrote a piece the other day how Republicans are losing the blue collar vote, which Reagan secured for them.
So now President Obama withdraws from Iraq, eliminates bin Laden, topple Qaddafi for $1 billion, and basically has proven to be much more effective on national security than George W. Bush. This is your core advantage--national security. But your candidates say that you can't have military actions against Iran because there are mountains, all of them have 5 separate positions on Libya,all of them want to stay forever in Iraq and Romney is itching for a conflict with China. As Ken Duberstein, Reagan's former Chief of Staff, said yesterday, the debates are now reality shows and at some point Republicans actually have to show they can govern. The national security card is slipping, sliding away from the Republicans.
So you are left with the white wealthy and senior citizens. Senior citizens Republicans momentarily took away from the Democrats with Medicare Part D. Senior citizens vote more regularly than any other group. So all Republican candidates except for Romney want to privatize Social Security, calling it a Ponzi scheme. Now almost all Republicans led by Paul Ryan want to privatize Medicare and replace it with vouchercare, which will bankrupt the last American not bankrupt. So, I would humbly suggest a slight drop-off in seniors voting for Republicans.
So we are left with the super wealthy--the middle-class went by-by. So here you have to gauge whether the wealthy are more interested in immediate tax relief after a decade of accumulation of greater wealthy or could they be more interested in voting for someone sane. At some point, even the wealthy who are concerned about the national debt have to ask themselves why are all the economic programs offered by the congressional Republicans and all Republican candidates going to vastly increase, not decrease the national debt. Not every wealthy person is ignorant of how a modern political economy works. But for now, you sort of keep the super wealthy.
Now we know how you keep away the people who are not your base. Voter suppression efforts in over a dozen states run by the new Republicans will suppress African-Americans, Hispanics, and students. The Wisconsin Voter ID law could prevent 400, 000 students from voting in the next presidential election. That would give Wisconsin to the Republicans. But something odd is happening in that Voter ID laws may actually be suppressing more senior citizens than thought.
So now you're waging war against your own base.
So Republicans are setting up a dynamic where they are left with Generation X Gordan Geckos as their core base.
You really have to be confident that the entire country despises President Obama so much and people actually believe the propaganda he is a socialist or you must know something the rest of us don't. We'll see.
Thursday, November 17, 2011
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