Friday, July 18, 2014

The State of the Senate

++The pundits have been refining their views on the Senate. The Washington Post has it 52 Republicans,46 Democrats and 2 Independents.
Etten at FiveThirtyEight has the Democrats in perilous shape but holding the Senate with 51 seats.

++Charlie Cook has his toss-up list:Alaska,Arkansas,Colorado,Louisiana, Michigan, North Carolina. He also calls Georgia and Kentucky as toss-ups. he has Iowa and New Hampshire as leaning Democrat.

++Stu Rothenberg has the Democrats in poor shape in South Dakota, Montana and West Virginia. He has Iowa, Arkansas, Alaska, North Carolina,Colorado as toss-ups but leaning Democratic. He has Mary Landrieu as way ahead but because of Louisiana's system it will depend on whether the Senate's control will hinge on this race whether Landrieu can absorb the flood of money by the GOP at the end. 

++On the House side, Nancy Pelosi says the Democrats will pick up 25 seats. Almost all pundits say the GOP has over a 90% chance of keeping the House because of gerrymandering and voter suppression. But strangely, Nancy Pelosi, who is known to count votes well, made a cogent case of each individual. This is street politics.

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