The GOP Disadvantage

++Daniel McGraw in the Politico Magazine writes how the GOP is literally dying. You read this at the Dailykos all the time. But it is literally true.

++William Frey at the Brookings Institute says his study of the demographic dearth of the GOP is the first study of how the dead can't vote.

++Just an envelope calculation,using Census data McGraw writes that 2.75 million Romney voters will have died by the 2016 election;2.3 million Obama voters. That's a 453,000 margin for Democrats. This will prove difficult for the GOP in Florida and Ohio.

++There will be 13 million in the 15 to 17 demographic eligible to vote in 2016. According to past elections,6 million or 45% will vote. In this demographic Democrats have a 65 to 35 advantage.

++So the GOP goes into the next election with 2.5 million disadvantage.

++So no wonder the GOP is so anxious about curtailing access to voting and voting ID laws. If your lead demographic is whites of 60 or above but also the most reliable voters,you need to reduce the voting of the other demographics. This is particularly true if you have made no substantial outreach to millenials in terms of social policy.