Wednesday, June 20, 2012

More Polls

++So you don't go away cheering the Bloomberg Poll. As Daily Kos points out that it had a much higher non-white vote than either 2008 or 2010. Conversely, Gallup tends to err on the side of too few non-whites.
Gallup's Tracking poll has Romney winning 47-45 and Rasmussen has the identical result.


++Bloggers have asked what gives with these strange polls from Michigan showing Romney in the lead and Huffington Post making the state a "toss-up". Other polls show Obama in the lead. But the Romney campaign has tried out their ad Blitzkreig in Michigan sort of like Guernica, the trial Nazi bombardment of Spain. Over the next month expect this tactic to appear in states out of media range as an experiment for the main event.


++Two more state polls are interesting:
We expect Romney to take Nebraska 52 to 40. But I always find Montana interesting--Romney is over Obama 51 to 42. If Obama were the insurgent candidate of 2008, he could take Montana. That year my rule of thumb was that if Obama could get it under 10 points a week out he could win it.


++The Michigan legislature expelled a Jewish legislator who said the horrible word "Vagina". This triggered thousands of women showing up in Michigan to listen to the Vagina Monologues. It is too bad the media didn't cover her discussion of how Jewish ethics on abortion differed from the right-wing males.


++I didn't forget Greece--a three-party coalition will run the government in order that this poor country remains in the Eurozone.



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