Checking back into the poll-a-sphere, Obama leads nationally by about 3,taking into account Gallup's tracking polls, but has increased leads in the Swing States by about 8. The NBC/WSJ poll has Obama ahead of Romney by 50 to 42 in the swing States but only ahead 47 to 42 nationally. Both Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls have it a horse race.
Quinnipiac University released Swing State polls today that shows Obama leading in Ohio by 9,in Pennsylvania by 6 and by 4 in Florida, after recent polls showed Romney inching forward. In Florida, Obama enjoys a 2 to 1 lead among Hispanics.
Obama has steadied his position in Colorado as PPP shows him winning 49 to 42 and Rasmussen agrees with 48 to 43. Both PPP and Rasmussen shows Obama winning Michigan by 53 to 39 and 50-42 respectfully after two Michigan polls showed Romney in the lead.
For a hoot, PPP polled Massachusetts and found Obama beating the state's former Governor 55 to 39.
The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll showed that Romney's favorability ratings have dropped in the Midwest after the Obama campaign ran Bain ads and the latest one of Romney as an outsourcer of jobs. Romney's much vaunted business career is currently seen as a negative by voters.
Voters still like President Obama and most importantly 6 in 10 maintain he inherited the economy. What is very telling is that 58% of Romney voters are backing Mitt because they are against Obama. But, 72% of Obama voters are casting their ballots for the President because they are for him.
In the Daily Kos analysis of the combined polls, their electoral vote count went from 270 to 259 for Obama on June 14 to a 326 to 212 count today. Even they said that the first count could have been reversed if Romney had been ahead in Michigan and Ohio as his campaign claimed.
What is remarkable is how steady the polling of the popular vote has been and how consistent Obama's strength has been so far.
One of the interesting polls was the one conducted by Gallup which showed that the average voter doesn't believe either man can have much effect on the economy. And this might explain why Romney hasn't been able to make this a referendum on Obama. First, voters believe Obama inherited a Depression and secondly, they now believe you can't do much more for the economy. Romney himself has promised an economic revival the minute he is elected. By all accounts, every economist believes that a stronger recovery will come by 2014 hell or high water.
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