++TPM has their election tracker up and running. It is Obama at 281 to Romney at 191. They have 66 toss-ups--North Carolina (15), Michigan (16), Iowa (6) and Florida (29).
++Electoral Vote has Obama at 297 to Romney at 212 with 29 tied (Florida). More ominously they have the Senate at 49-48 with 3 ties.
++Nate Silver says Obama picked up this week because of the Dow. He has Obama at 297.4 to Romney 240.6 and Obama at a 67% chance of winning.
++Daily Kos' Steve Singiser has an excellent read today at the Daily Kos "Mitt Romney's complicated path to 270 electoral votes". It is an excellent analysis of how to read the state of play in the electoral college by examining a series of state polls and finally realizing that both candidates' bases are pretty set but that even though Romney's base support is composed of more states, they are less in terms of electoral votes. He warns Democrats that such a race can change rapidly and that the margin of error for electoral predictions is truly huge. He also warns against fantasizing about candidates taking certain states by surprise--like Obama re-capturing Indiana or taking Arizona. This stuff rarely happens.
++The McClatchy-Marist poll today has Obama with a slight lead.
++The Mason-Dixon Florida poll has Obama barely ahead of Romney 46-45 and with Gary Johnson at 2.
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