Sunday, November 4, 2012

Let's Leave it to Sam

++Too many last minute polls today and the campaigns are in their final frenzy. Approval ratings for President Obama are at Rasmussen 51% levels. In Ohio, Pulse Opinions he hit 52%. The day started with RCP at 49.9%. These are all in the re-election sweet zones.

++Joe Biden told Chris Matthews today that the electoral vote wasn't going to be close. 

++David Axelrod took on Chris Wallace at Fox News to say Romney can't catch up.

++So Sam Wang appeared on CNN International. This is Sam's prediction.Now President Obama,based on all the state polls,has a 99.9% chance of winning re-election. The EV Count is 303 Obama and Romney 235. The meta-margin is now 2.85.

++Nate Silver has Obama at 306 and 231.6 for Romney with Obama having an 85.5% chance of re-election. And 50.5% in the popular vote.

++Note" Sam Wang has cut Obama down from 319 earlier in the day but upped his meta-margin.

++All the national polls have come out today. Gallup is promised tomorrow. Most interesting is Pew's which shows President Obama at 50 and Romney at 47.

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