Saturday, November 3, 2012

When The Random Drift Converges with the Bayesian Prediction

++Or Sam Wang farts in your general direction. Sam is still at 323-215, which basically means that the GOP could still steal Ohio and Florida and Obama still wins. The Random Drift, as promised by Dr. Wang, is now converging like an Eclipse of the moon or sun on the Bayesian Prediction. Drift is now 98.0% to the Prediction of 99.8%.

++The PPP National Tracking Poll is at Obama 50 and Romney 47. 

++The Ohio Secretary of State again has thrown a wrench in the works by ordering provisional ballots to be held up. Court convenes again on Monday as voter rights activists continue to take this man to court. Good news is that Obama has 2,500 lawyers ready to pounce on Ohio if this stuff turns serious.

++And just for our West Coast readers who feel left out ,the Field poll has Diane Feinstein with a 21 point lead in her race for Senate and President Obama with a 15-point lead over Willard.


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