Monday, July 18, 2016

Recommended Reading : Josh Marshall" What Do The Polls Say?"

++Josh Marshall observes that Hillary Clinton can go to many constituencies and Trump can't.  Josh points out that Trump is underperforming Romney in all his key demographics in the white community. Marshall speculates that Hillary's lead is probably bigger than the aggregate numbers because Rasmussen is this year's outlier and that the serious polls show Clinton with a bigger lead.

++We all know Republicans can't win the White House without Ohio. That's why there convention is there. So it seems politically wise to be nice to Ohio.

++But Manafort went out of his way to trash talk John Kasich today and the Ohio delegation which traditionally should have the front-row seats because it is the host are now pushed to the back and New York and California are moved up front. And if violence breaks out,Ohio may be a heavy lift for Trump.

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