EARLY VOTING ISN'T PREDICTIVE

The early returns from Franklin County,Ohio are in at levels that exceed 2012. The county is Democratic territory and only proves the Clinton GOTV is working.

But Politico has an article on how early voting isn't very predictive. The exceptions this time should be Nevada and Florida. Early voting also gives a campaign flexibility to adjust to factors that they have overlooked and concentrate on their coalition that isn't voting.

For example Hillary Clinton campaigning with Beyounce and Le Bron James in Ohio tells you something about her efforts to generate greater African-American voters.

But the Hispanic surge in Texas is good news for getting them into the system and affecting house races. But the early returns show Anglos are also turning up big time at greater far greater numbers than the Hispanics or African-Americans. So long-term good but not necessarily this year.

I also noticed early voting doesn't affect our pundits and even Nate Silver. MSNBC still flirted with the idea of Nevada going read when Jon Ralston has appeared to tell them no.

Sam Wang appeared on CNN to basically say this was still a stable race and he was sticking to his statements about a Hillary victory.