Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Primary Day in Florida

++The Pew Poll tells us that 46% of Republicans are satisfied with the candidates this year compared to 68% in 2008. This will affect the so-called enthusiasm gap.

++Romney is poised to win today. Nate the Great has it at 44%. Polls have varied the last day from 5-20% Romney lead. Early voting in Florida heavily favored Romney.

++Romney faces a few problems going forward. The empathy gap looms large--55% of voters think Obama cares about the problems they face; 33% say Romney does.

++An ABC/Washington Post poll shows that Romney's work with Bain Capital may also be an issue in the general election. Only 35% have a favorable view of his work there, 40% unfavorable. For Democrats, it is 18% favorable and 60% unfavorable. For Independents 36 favorable to 37% unfavorable; For blue collar voters 35% favorable to 38% unfavorable; moderates 32% favorable to 39% unfavorable. But it is an issue that still needs to be defined as almost 25% had no opinion.

++The last PPP poll had Romney at 39, Gingrich at 31, Santorum at 15% and Paul at 11%. PPP claims that their tracking poll has been consistent the last three days.

++In today's Washington Post, Eugene Robinson writes a column entitled,"Does Romney believe anything?"

++Roger Cohen in the same paper writes that Republicans have only themselves to blame. His piece says that "The GOP is brain dead." Cohen criticizes the established Republican paper for not stopping the "rampant anti-intellectualism" in the party. Cohen revisits the issues that have plagued the party this past year--abortion, taxes, global warming, evolution and more nonsense. The party has become a "mosh pit of madmen."

++We may expect Rick Santorum to drop out because of his daughter's illness, leaving the anti-Mitt forces in the hand of Newt.

++Like the good old days, the Catholic church is reading an anti-Obama letter from the pulpit, claiming the President in assaulting religious liberty because the Administration has ruled that health insurance companies must provide for contraceptives. The Catholic Church claims this has to do with policies provided by Catholic universities, hospitals and schools. Of course, no one is mandating people actually have to obtain contraceptives. It is very bizarre to argue it is an assault on religious liberty, when many of these institutions already received government funding. Perhaps, the proper thing for them to do is to refuse government funding en masse so we can actually have the separation of Church and State, instead of the constant erosion of freedom in the face of the diktats of a minority.Of course, Michael Gerson opined in the Washington Post about Obama's betrayal of his Catholic allies on this.

++We'll have more later as the primary results are known.

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