Monday Blues

++President Obama came out yesterday to say the Democrats will win the Senate.

++Sam Wang is recalculating. He still has Republicans at 51 seats and a rising meta-margin. The other aggregators like Nate Silver and the New York Times have the GOP now overwhelming odds.

++Sam and others point to the burst of Ernest in Iowa,Cotton in Arkansas,Gardner in Colorado, and Sullivan staring to lead in Alaska. 

++Landrieu in Louisiana and Hagan in North Carolina have slim leads.

++The Supreme Court by a 5 to 4 put a hold on the Circuit ruling ruling blocking Ohio's restriction on early voting. Blocking Sunday and early voting in Ohio favors the Republicans and pointedly restricts the Africa-American vote.

++The controversy over the intruder into the White House reveals he got further inside the White House than previously reported. In the Post article on the story,there was one ominous line. President Obama has experienced three times more threats than any of his predecessors.

++President Obama seems to have surfaced in recent days with sharp the detailed speeches. His speech before the Congressional Black Caucus was a rousing defense of his own administration and promises to do more. His appearance on 60 Minutes was a cool, sober assessment of the Middle East.

++This afternoon Turkish tanks moved toward the border of Syria to prevent ISIS' advance. In Baghdad, ISIS came close to the outskirts of town and reported conducted two massacres of Iraqi military personnel. Private reports indicate that the Iraqi military are lying about their progress and Shiite militias are killing young Sunni men.