Thursday, September 11, 2014

Sam Wang Still Not Impressed

++Sam Wang still keeps his prediction of Democrats+Independents at 51 and Republicans at 49. Today's probability is 85% for Dems, election day 70%. The Meta-margin is D 1.0.

++Two days ago Nate Silver, who gives the GOP a 65% chance of taking the Senate,tweeted he wanted to bet Sam a bundle. Sam wasn't taking,chiding Nate as the Celebrity Nerd. 

++The DailyKos Poll Explorer has the Dem chances now of taking the Senate at 45%. They point to Kansas as throwing their predictions out of whack.

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