Friday, September 12, 2014

Polls Galore

++Sam Wang has the Senate back to 50-50 this morning but the probabilities the same and the meta-margin is still D 1.0. Sam says to watch the meta-margin for a sense of where the Democrats are.

++Meanwhile, real polling season has hit. We are seeing some of the stranger characters from the 2012 elections commence their polling and some of the regulars.

++North Carolina Senate: Civitas. Hagan 46--Tillis 43.
++Colorado Senate: Survey USA. Udall 46 to Gardner 42. 
++Michigan Senate: Suffolk. Peters 46 to Land 37.
                Glenngariff Group: Peters 47 to Land 37
                                PPP:      Peters  43 to Land 36.

++New Hampshire Senate: 
                Global Strategy: Shaheen 48 Brown 41.
++Georgia Senate:
                Survey USA: David Perdue 47 M. Nunn 44.
++Virginia Senate:
            Christopher Newport: Warner 53 Gillespie 31
++Kentucky Senate:
   This poll is important because the Mellman Group polled the Harry Reid race and got it right when others didn't.
                     Alison Lindren Grimes 43 McConnell 42.

Rob Portman, the Ohio Senator who heads the Republican Committee, told reporters that a Republican-controlled Senate would repeal Obamacare.

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