++With the drumbeat of dire predictions and companies and banking threatening to leave Scotland if the people voted for independence, not even with Prime Minister Cameron flying to Scotland to say that they leaving the UK would break his heart, even with the Queen weighing in, Sam Wang is still not impressed.
++Scotland will not leave the UK,according to Sam Wang,because there is a 95% probability that the referendum will fail. The No vote will win by 4% plus or minus 1.3%. He says the 8% undecided do not cut one way"yes" or "no" and that there is no well of yes votes waiting to be had.
++His stance reminds me of the delightful moment during one of the debates in 2012 where he admitted he didn't watch and it didn't matter. The great surging Romney support was a whopping 1%. He was right. It didn't matter. So enjoy all the ink how Scottish Independence would be the worst decision since the Great Depression--an actual story tonight.
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