The Odd Election

++Presidential approval ratings are said to be normative in predicting mid-term elections. But we have entered the zone of disapproval ratings. 72% of Americans disapprove of Republicans in Congress, according to a Washington Post poll. 54% of Americans disapprove of President Obama and 61% disapprove of congressional Democrats.

++Sam Wang this morning confirms his prediction of a 50-50 Senate with basically the same fundamentals as last week. He notes that other outfits are drifting into his direction because polls are now determining their predictions. On the House side, Wang predicts the GOP will gain from 3-9 seats.

++As we move toward the elections,remember we will probably not know who is in control of the Senate until January. On the night of the election itself, we have a very late call on Alaska. Louisiana is looking like a run-off and Georgia may be too. If Georgia heads to a run-off, we are looking at January for the final judgment on who controls the Senate.

++The DailyKos Poll Explorer is claiming that Kansas didn't change their raising the Democrats odds on holding the Senate. Rather Kay Hagan,Mary Landrieu and Braley in Iowa are showing resilience with the latest polls. Begich in Alaska is now back at over 50% odds of keeping his seat. The one candidate that seems fading is Pryor in Arkansas.