++A Federal Judge has blocked a Wisconsin Voter ID Law.
++Mississippi voters oppose inter-racial marriage, evolution and think President Obama is a Muslim. Ditto for Alabama to a lesser degree.
++The polling for the Republican primaries shows it is a horse-race in both states. Too close to call.
++Ron Paul did at least get 1 delegate from the US Virgin Islands, which he did win but by only 5 its over Willard.
++Willard seems to have a problem with math. President Obama saved $500 billion in Medicare payments over the next ten years by cracking down on fraud. However, payments to Medicare recipients did not get slashed. This is right out of the Michelle Bachmann playbook. Willard makes Tricky Dick seem truthful.
++The Washington Post this morning published a poll showing that President Obama's approval rating had flipped since a month ago because of gas prices. It also shows that Romney beats him. It also shows that for the first time a majority of Americans expect President Obama to be re-elected. I took the results to show there is a bottom for Obama's support and a ceiling for Romney's. Willard's has been fairly consistent.
++Michael Steele, former RNC head, said he didn't plan for the primaries to lead to a brokered convention but he would to mind.
++Note to the reader about the 2012 Presidential election:
Sad to say but all that will matter occur the period after Labor Day.
No polls really matter until May.
The Debates will be actually even because there is such low expectations for the Republican and President Obama is expected to crush Romney. If Romney makes a funny joke, he will win the debate because he made himself look human.
Letting the birther nonsense boil on the edges, the Romney line will be Obama is a nice man (with appropriate condescension and sneer) but he is over his head.
The election will probably swing on a foreign crisis, not the economy or healthcare.
You will get the impression by the end of the election season that President Obama is running for President the first time,there will be no recognition of his achievements and instead the GOP will try to float the lines from Sarah Palin's 2008 rallies. And who knows whether this will be as successful?
++This election will be unusual thanks to Citizens United because you will see more exposure and criticism of individuals in the SuperPacs. For Republicans, there is no party left. Even during the primary, it is clear it is a war of SuperPacs. The Romney campaign, for instance, is running low on funds so he has to be able to depend on his Super Pac. So it is fair game that one of his billionaire backers is criticized for saying the "wealthy have too little influence in the elections." We should expect more of this in the general election--the assumption that very wealthy crackpots are surrogates of the candidate.
++Republican operatives claim the drawn out process makes it more difficult to transition into the general election. It actually may work to their advantage because total disgust with the process encourages the cynicism for the electorate and depresses the turnout--which has been their desire from the beginning.
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