Friday, March 13, 2015

Noise and Signal

++So the last two weeks showed us 21st century reality. The Prime Minister of Israel speaks to a joint session of Congress to rail against a diplomatic process that hasn't been completed. He thought it would give him an election bounce and it didn't. The Republican Senators urged Tehran not to sign an agreement because they claim--but others disagree--that must ratify it. The ploy blows up like an exploding cigar.

++Behind the scenes, John Boehner has to allow the passage of the Homeland Security bill without assertions on immigration. 

++So what is real and what is memorex. Or as Nate Silver says what is the noise and what is the signal?

++So there is no deal on no bomb. 
++There is no authorization for military force because no one wants to come clean on who is the enemy and who is our erstwhile ally.
++At least we have polls from Israel but no election.

++ So everything is about process with no conclusion. 

++We don't even know the implications if anything happens. This is a fine mess you've gotten me into,Ollie.

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