Sunday, March 29, 2015

Provisional Iranian Deal Reached

++In Lausanne, the P5+1 seems to have reach a provisional with Iran. Allegedly Iran has agreed to ship all enriched uranium to Russia where it would be processed into nuclear fuel and it would cut the number of centrifuges in half. 

++The ambassador of Saudi Arabia to the United States said on television that the Saudis are tempted to build nuclear weapons because of this deal.

++Bibi said the deal is atrociously bad and that the Lausanne-Yemen axis threatens the Middle East.

++If the deal is really concluding in the next few days as expected,the P5+1 would have until June to work out the specific details.

++The debate is now about the pacing of the lifting of sanctions. The Security Council can vote top lift UN sanctions and the EU countries can list theirs. President Obama can list the sanctions in executive orders. But other sanctions must be lifted by a congressional vote. The last will probably not occur with Republican control of Congress. 

++I remember when Namibia became independent from South Africa and held a democratic election. It took two years to lift sanctions in the United States. So don't expect anything soon.

++This deal will need President Obama to address the country and explain what just happened. This is a major foreign policy achievement and he and the Administration will need to mount a full court press. They have to explain the limits of congressional oversight to this agreement.

++Thanks to Harry Reid,Chuck Schumer who has been against the deal is now boxed into backing his president or losing the post Reid said he could have.

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