Right now
The count is Democrat has 263 votes
Republican has 133 votes
Toss-ups are 142 votes.
But the map calls states' toss-ups where they have no data of their own. For instance, unlike Real Politics and others they give Colorado to the Democrats. But they have no allocated Vermont or Illinois. So Illinois has 20 votes and Vermont has three. No one in their right mind would dispute that Obama will win Illinois and Vermont.
So the real total is 286 with 119 toss-ups. Maybe that is why Intratrade has Obama winning re-election now with over a 60% chance.
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