Pollpalooza

The Global Strategy Group,connected to a Democratic group, The Third Way,polled independents in Swing States and found that President Obama leads Romney by 44-38%. The poll tried to determine the tendencies of those "authentically" independent, voters who cast their ballots for either parties, not leaners. 


Among these voters, President Obama has a 57% favorable rating, while Romney only 41%. In 2008, President Obama won 57% of these independent voters so his present strength has not achieved 2008 levels--yet. 


More Worrisome for Democrats should be the generic poll where Republicans have a 39-31% lead, which does not bode well for congressional races. 


Global Strategy found that while President Obama polls well on current economic issues, voters were concerned about the future. Independent voters were less concerned about the issue of equality as opposed to opportunity. The general impression is that independents want President Obama to talk more about the future.


The Maine People's Resource Center released their state-wide poll. President Obama has a 52.3% approval rating with 43.6% disapproving. In a match-up with Romney, Obama wins 54.6% against 37%.


In their Senate polls, independent Angus King romps with 56% and the nearest candidate is 21.8%. 


On same-sex marriage or equal marriage, 58.2% are either strongly or just favor same sex marriages. Only 39.9% oppose. Marriage equality will be voted on in a referendum this November. 


The Michigan--EPIC-MRA poll served as a wake-up call to the Obama campaign. Obama has a 50% favorable rating but only tops Romney by 47-43%. Independents are leaning to Romney, while 35% of the people in Michigan believe the country/ state is heading in the right direction, a leap from 19% from last poll. The poll might be an outlier because others had Obama with double digit leads.


In all the polls listed by Real Politics, Obama has a lead over Romney and ,of course, over Santorum.


A local poll in Indiana might be the canary in the coal mine. The poll shows Dick Lugar in trouble against a tea bagger. But surprisingly Romney has a 9 pt lead over Obama. While Obama won the state last time, his campaign has long written it off as lost. Republicans have always won since LBJ by margins averaging 25%. The reason this poll could be significant is that Romney's lead will affect neighboring Ohio's margin in November.  Unless he ups his Indiana lead to over 15 points, pollsters project he loses Ohio and that means the presidency. Ah, such much from a small poll!