Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Before the Onslaught on Attack Ads begin

++Peggy Noonan asked why the Romney campaign has waited so long with their ads. By the time they air them people will want to tear out their eyeballs and stomp on the goo. Pretty close to the quote. 

++Remember people are now voting for President in 31 states as I write. This early voting benefited President Obama last time and you wonder with the Romney campaign in a meltdown what that vote looks like now.

++A conservative e-mailed me with this plea,"With the foreign policy in the shitter, an additional $5 trillion in debt and 20+million out of work, we can't beat him?"

++While we wait for everything from the Obama ads on redistribution of wealth to Jeremiah Wright and Bill Ayres, Nate Silver is busy rummaging through his logrithmns and saying that Obama's post-convention bounce is over and that the President may actually do better in the popular vote than the electoral college. I gather this is Silver doing mind games to keep busy. Of course, his word of caution is with the President at the high 70% probability for re-election.

++USAToday/Gallup has Obama at 48 to 46.
     Obama at 48-47 in Colorado
                     50-41 in Pennsylvania
                     50-46 in Virginia
                     51-45 in Wisconsin.

++AP/Gfk poll has Obama leading in likely voters 47 to 46. But the amazing finding is 52 to 37 for Obama in registered voters. Voters have a 56% approval rating for the President.

++Pew found Obama at 51 to 43 in likely voters; and 53 to 43 among registered voters. Also the enthusiasm gap has disappeared.

++In Wisconsin, Marquette found Obama with a 54 to 40 lead over Romney. Tammy Baldwin is at 50 to 41.

++The most amazing rumor of the day came from the Romney camp questioning how long they can hold out in Ohio since the polls are awful for them. Let's see Michigan, Pennsylvania,Wisconsin and then Ohio out of reach. Time to push the panic button.

++CNN/ORC surveyed Michigan and found Obama 52 to 44. 



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