Monday, September 3, 2012

To Bounce or Not To Bounce--That is the Question

++Nate Silver is saying "meh", maybe 1-2 point bounce. Sam Wang has caught a whiff of a negative bounce. But he promises more tomorrow. Steve Singisier at Daily Kos says it looks now at 2 points. Tom Holbrook of Pollster had predicted a 3.6 pt bounce for Romney and a 1.1 for Obama. Apparently challengers get a better bounce. So will call it 2 and let the geeks find out after the election.

++PPP has found Obama still leads Michigan 51 to 44. 

++PPP has Obama at 49 to 46 in Colorado. They remark this is the tightest of the last four polls, all of which showed Obama in the lead.

++Are you better off than four years ago? 54% of Americans say yes. 

++According to Gallup, only 38% found Romney's speech good or excellent.

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